Last year can easily be dubbed as “the year of the tight
ends”, based on the rising stars that are exploding into the NFL at the
position. New England Patriots’ tight end, Rob Gronkowski and New Orleans
Saints’ tight end, Jimmy Graham recorded a combined 189 receptions, 2,637
receiving yards, and 29 touchdowns in the 2011 campaign. Their massive success
last year has really raised the bar for the rest of the tight ends in 2012 so,
the question is, who has the potential to become an elite tight end next year?
One player that, when I look through the tapes, I see having
very similar qualities to Gronkowski and Graham is Indianapolis Colts’ tight
end, Coby Fleener. Fleener was taken 34th overall in the 2012 NFL
draft, and the first tight end to be picked. Like Gronkowski and Graham,
Fleener is a tall, athletic tight end (6’6” and 250 lbs) who has great jumping
abilities. Fleener has proven during his collegiate career at Stanford that he
is not afraid to jump over defenders and come down with the ball, which is why
Andrew Luck felt comfortable throwing him the ball in the redzone (10 redzone
touchdowns in 2011).
Fleener also has explosive speed off the line for a man his
stature, running the 40-yard dash in an impressive 4.45 seconds at Stanford’s
Pro Day evaluation in 2012. With agility such as this, it will be hard for
opposing defenders to keep up with the athletic tight end. Not only will they
have to make sure to keep pace with Fleener but, they will have to obtain elite
ball positioning and jumping abilities as well. Fleener recorded a vertical
jump of 37 inches, which means that the ball can be thrown over nine and a half
feet in the air and he can still get his hands on it. This rookie will be a
match up nightmare for any defense in the league.
It also does not hurt that the guy who will be throwing him
the ball in Indianapolis is his college QB, Andrew Luck. Fleener has been Luck’s
go to guy for the past three seasons at Stanford, and that chemistry should not
die now that they are both in the NFL. It is known that a rookie QB is not shy
to throw it to an athletic, reliable TE so, Fleener’s statistics should only
rise in Indianapolis.
Indianapolis does not have what you would call a star
studded line up of receivers for Luck to throw it to either. Austin Collie,
Donnie Avery, and Reggie Wayne will more than likely be the top three wide outs
in 2012. Both Collie and Avery have never eclipsed 700 receiving yards in their
careers, and are quite injury prone, while Wayne used to be considered an elite
receiver but, age is not on his side playing in his 12th this
up-coming season. It is not a farfetched statement to say that Fleener has the
highest probability of becoming Luck’s go to target in 2012.
Based on the athletic talent Fleener possesses, the
familiarity his has with his quarterback, and the situation he finds himself
in, playing for the Indianapolis Colts, I believe Fleener can become the next
elite tight end in the NFL. He may, or may not reach elite status in his rookie
year but, the potential is there. I expect that he will record 850+ receiving
yards, along with 8+ touchdowns in 2012.
For more Fantasy Football advice follow me on twitter @DannyFantasyFB
If Gronkowski shows up Game 1 he passes Graham. Graham is good but not worth his ADP. TE is deep.
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