Jets Quarterback, Tim Tebow or Mark Sanchez?

It has been a while since the New York Jets have had some controversy at the quarterback position but, now that Tim Tebow is suiting up for the green and white, Mark Sanchez is no longer a sure-fire lock to start each game. So if you plan on picking a Jet quarterback in your fantasy draft, which one (Tebow or Sanchez) will be more productive for your team?

With Rex Ryan calling the shots anything can happen, especially after having an 8-8 record and missing out on the playoffs. During the offseason the Jets lost some key offensive weapons such as wide receiver Plaxico Burress, and running back LaDainian Tomlinson. Based on last season, having the 21^st ranked passing offense and the 22^nd ranked rushing offense, not only do the Jets have to replace these players but, they have to replace them with other players that will increase the offensive output they had last year.

So far the Jets have signed wide receiver Chaz Schilens as well as former Bronco quarterback Tebow. I do not believe Schilens is comparable to Burress as a red zone threat, although he could improve on his 23 receptions from last year by lining up opposite to Santonio Holmes or even in the slot back position; depending on how soon rookie wide receiver, Stephen Hill, develops. With Tomlinson out of the picture, Shonn Greene would be the every down back with Joe McKnight and Terrance Ganaway fighting for the backup role.

With an offensive line that has been no better than average since the departure of Damian Woody, I would say that this is not the offense Ryan is going to want to see out on the field during week one, if they keep Sanchez as the starting quarterback.

Now if we change it up and put new comer Tebow as the starting quarterback then this changes the entire offense. With the treat of a boot leg by Tebow at any time during the game, opposing defenses would have to try and contain the quarterback by dropping an extra linebacker in the box to make sure Tebow does not get to the outside and gain valuable yards. This increases the chance for a one-on-one mach up in the secondary, and if (this is still a strong if) Tebow can get the ball to the correct match up on the field then this can allow for a more efficient Jets offense. Also, when Tebow played in Denver he, along with Willis McGahee created the No. 1 rushing attack in the league as Denver had 164.5 rushing yards per game. We all know how Ryan values a strong running game.

Here are some more stats from last season:
Sanchez had an average of 15.82 fantasy points per game while Tebow had an average of 18.11 fantasy points per game.
Sanchez led his team to an 8-8 record (2-6 on the road) causing his team to miss the playoffs while Tebow led his team to a 7-4 record (5-1 on the road) which brought his team to being the top team out of the AFC West Division.

Even if Mark Sanchez starts in week 1, I do not see the offense being strong enough to win games. When/If that occurs, Jets fans will be wanting to see Tebow. Ryan is going to play who he thinks is going to win more games for his team, and due to the offseason changes that were made, I believe the only stand out player that can cause more of an offensive production is the Florida Gators' product, Tebow. If Tebow starts more games for the Jets, which I believe he will, then he is more valuable to your fantasy team than Sanchez.

For more Fantasy Football advice follow me on twitter @DannyFantasyFB

Top Fantasy Quarterbacks, Why Not Andy Dalton?

With all the talk about picking up a top end quarterback in the first couple rounds, a player I’ve noticed that has been left out of the discussion is Cincinnati Bengals QB, Andy Dalton. Dalton surprised everyone last year by putting up 3,398 passing yards and 20 touchdowns in the 15 games that he started as a rookie. he is only the third rookie quarterback to ever surpass the 3,000 yard mark. Putting up numbers such as these while being a rookie quarterback is uncommon but, to do it while playing against three of the top four passing defenses in the league (Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Baltimore) for a third of his games is even more incredible. Looking at the stats I believe Dalton can not only match his fantasy total of last year but, improve on it in his sophomore year.

During the 2011 regular season, the combined average of the three defenses would allow for 184.9 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. Dalton was, on average, able to put up 236 passing yards against these teams during the five games he played against them. For a rookie quarterback to have the poise and skill set to consistently do well against the top defenses in the league is remarkable.

What makes me think that Dalton can do even better is that 1) he will already have a full season under his belt and 2) the Bengals organization has quietly put in place some key players to balance the offense out. Having those 15 games of experience, plus some postseason experience, gives Dalton the confidence and reassurement that he belongs with the rest of the top signal callers of the league.

I know Cincinnati lost two key offensive linemen in Bobbie Williams and Nate Livings but, they added Travelle Warton and Kevin Zeitler. Williams and Livings are great pass blocking guards as well as Warton and Zeitler but, Warton and Zeitler offer more to the run protection than the other two. Former New England Patriots running back, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, who has never fumbled in his NFL carrier, also signed with the Bengals this off season. Green-Ellis will more than likely be splitting the carries with aging Cedric Benson (30 years old), which will allow for a much improved running game. While the running game has seen improvements, this will also benefit Dalton.

If you look at the five games mentioned before against the top defenses, the Bengals only won one of them, and that was against the Browns. In each of the games they lost, a running back never put up more than 57 yards in a game but, if you look at the game they won, a running back broke the 100 yard mark. I believe that with this improved running game Dalton will find more success in running the play action more than he did in the 2011 year, which will allow for big plays to be made down the field. From a fantasy perspective, the more big plays that are made - the more fantasy points your player will receive.

Also, opposing defenses will have to focus more on the running game by stacking the box which would allow for Dalton to find the one-on-one match up down the field. This would allow for a greater amount of plays to be made to receivers up the middle since the opposing linebackers would be forced to play the run first, thus taking them out of position to break up the pass over the top. With receivers such as AJ Green, Andrew Hawkings, Mohamed Sanu, and Jermaine Gresham in the starting lineup, Dalton should be able to find the open target and make plays down the field.

Dalton has already proved that he is capable of playing against the best defenses, and he will have to do so again in 2012 if he wants to increase on his numbers from last year. With a year under his belt and some newly added talent around him, I believe Dalton is a legitimate starting QB in fantasy land who will be a great value pick as he won’t come off the board until the 11^th – 14^th round (if he even gets drafted). Don’t sleep on this sophomore QB!

For more Fantasy Football advice follow me on twitter @DannyFantasyFB